EAGLES (3-4-1) (-3, -186, O/U 44.5) at New York Giants (2-7)
By James Hammer in Vegas
The Eagles finally have a chance to take control of the awful NFC East, while the Giants, who have somehow won two of their last four, would like nothing better than to be a thorn in their longtime rival’s side.
The last time these two teams played in Philly, it was a one-point game. This time around, the Giants are at home.
The bye came at a good time for the Eagles, who are expected to get back both wide receiver Alshon Jeffery for his season debut and running back Miles Sanders.
Additionally, tight end Dallas Goedert should also be available after missing the first meeting between the teams in Week 7.
Should all three pieces return, it should remove some of the self-imposed burden quarterback Carson Wentz has put on himself.
Even missing Jeffery, Ertz, Goedert and Sanders in the first meeting, Wentz still threw for 359 yards and a pair of TDs as he rallied the Eagles for two touchdowns in the final 6:17 for a 22-21 win. The Eagles have won six of their last seven at MetLife Stadium and scored 34 or more points in all of those wins. The feeling is it finally comes together for the Birds, who will make the trip back down the New Jersey Turnpike with a W.
The Eagles (3-5 ATS) have gotten hot as of late, rebounding from an awful start to win two straight.
They crushed Dallas 23-9, covering as a 10-point home favorite. The Giants (2-7 SU, 6-3 ATS) have a poor record but have been incredibly kind to bettors, covering two-thirds of their games. New York is coming off a 23-20 win over Washington last week, winning outright as 3-point road dogs. This line opened with Philadelphia listed as a 3-point road favorite. The public is rushing to the window to lay the points with Philly. However, we’ve seen some sharp buyback and liability on the Giants. Anytime the number ticked up to 3.5, books got hit by Giants money taking the hook (+3.5). Many books have dropped back down to 3, signaling a sharp line freeze and reverse line move on New York. The Giants have value as a divisional dog and a contrarian play in a heavily lopsided game. Divisional dogs are 29-16 ATS (64 percent) this season. These teams met about a month ago and the Eagles won 22-21 but the Giants covered as 5-point road dogs.
The Eagles have too much on the line. Lay the points with Philly.